Kamala Harris Will Snag ‘Comfortable’ Victory, Conservative Pundit Predicts

A British conservative pundit and political expert has cast doubts on former President Donald Trump’s chances of victory, saying this week he sees Vice President Kamala Harris winning the 2024 election.

“I remain confident that Kamala Harris is going to win and win by a comfortable margin,” Rory Stewart, a former Conservative Member of Parliament (MP) and British Minister, said on an episode of his podcast, “The Rest is Politics.”

“And as I think I’ve said to you before, I believe this because I think what’s happened is the polling agencies are panicked, and it’s not surprising they’re all hovering around 50-50,” Stewart added.

“They’re hovering around 50-50 because they like to be in a pack and 50-50 is a pretty safe place to be,” Stewart continued. “I think that the turnout assumptions on Trump don’t make sense. I can’t see young African-American voters who say they support Trump necessarily turning out to vote in the polls.”

Stewart has enjoyed a varied and textured career in politics, serving as a diplomat in the Middle East before winning a seat in David Cameron’s 2010 government and eventually holding several ministerial positions before abandoning the Boris Johnson government in 2019.

Since his departure from government, Stewart has teamed up with Labour political strategist Alastair Campbell for the podcast, “The Rest is Politics,” where the once-rival politicos analyze the news and trends of the day.

In a recent episode, Stewart broke from the narrative that Trump has appeared to surge in the polls and that the Republicans can expect a groundswell turnout in November, instead arguing that all signs indicate, in his mind, a victory for the Democrats.

Stewart pointed to an extensive ground campaign to “Get Out the Vote” and drive voter enthusiasm in the final weeks, arguing that Trump instead seems “very dependent on his social media status.”

“The Republicans have no ground game at all in African-American communities in central Michigan, because those were traditionally Democrat voters, so they simply don’t have the infrastructure there,” Stewart said.

The Republican National Committee (RNC) pushed back on the criticism of its ground game efforts, telling Newsweek that the party is seeing major returns on its strategy to drive voter turnout and enthusiasm.

“The Harris campaign is truly circling the drain,” RNC Spokesperson Anna Kelly told Newsweek. “We smoked them in voter registration. We are surging in early voting, and they are underperforming. More of our low propensity and new voters are turning out than theirs.”

“President Trump is leading the polls in every battleground state. No one has cared about the Brits’ opinions on our strategy since 1776,” Kelly added.

Stewart acknowledged that his view no longer aligns with the mainstream reading of the tea leaves, especially as reports in the past week have increasingly determined Trump stands a good chance of winning key states and taking the Electoral College.

Election website FiveThirtyEight has indicated that while Harris holds a roughly 1.7-point lead over Trump nationally, but that Trump remains the favorite to win the Electoral College by a slim margin of 51 percent chance of victory.

In all important contests, the polling remains too close for anyone to declare a clear-cut image of victory, as all numbers fall within the margin of error.