Iranians Divided on Trump’s Return: Will It Mean War or Peace?

Donald Trump’s return to the presidency is stirring a blend of anxiety and optimism across Iran.

Some see a renewed threat of conflict, while others wonder if his unconventional style could lead to diplomatic surprises.

“I’m very happy that Trump has won because he is really a powerful man,” said Fatemeh Kaveh, 40. “I see him as a role model in terms of personality, and I always watch his stories (on social media), and I believe in him. I’m very happy he won.”

“Trump will use tougher levers against Iran,” warned political analyst Ahmad Zeidabadi, noting that Iranian officials’ opposition could intensify tensions.

Despite Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s disdain for Trump, Iran’s reformist president, Masoud Pezeshkian, appears willing to consider talks, hoping to secure economic relief from harsh sanctions.

Economic Hardships at Home

Iran’s struggling economy has driven ordinary citizens to look hopefully toward easing U.S. pressure.

The Iranian rial hit an all-time low against the dollar, further squeezing those who already face high inflation and joblessness.

“I think Iran has no choice but to make peace with Trump,” said Sina Khaledian, a nurse voicing a common sentiment.

Many Iranians, bearing the brunt of economic and social restrictions, are also coping with disillusionment following recent protests, including the movement for women’s rights ignited by Mahsa Amini’s death in custody in 2022.

Economic challenges remain a focal point for any potential U.S.-Iran relations under a new Trump administration.

Khamenei’s Hardline Stance

Khamenei, however, remains firmly opposed to rapprochement with Trump.

His strong reaction to the 2020 assassination of General Qassem Soleimani by U.S. forces underscores his position, shaping Iran’s political atmosphere.

The Supreme Leader’s website still hosts provocative content, imagining Trump targeted by an Iranian drone.

For many Iranians, anger over Soleimani’s killing has not faded, and sentiments toward Trump remain tense. “It is a good time for Iran to retaliate,” said Reza Solatani, a Tehran resident still shaken by the general’s death.

Hope for Diplomatic Openings

Still, President Pezeshkian’s recent remarks signal cautious hope. “It doesn’t matter who has won the U.S. elections,” he stated, suggesting a pragmatic approach that leaves room for potential negotiations.

While Trump’s first term saw intense hostilities, his high-profile diplomacy with North Korea has led some to believe that a similar overture could be possible with Iran.

Zeidabadi, however, stresses that Iran’s internal hard-liners will likely block any serious attempt to improve relations, viewing Trump’s approach with skepticism.

Even so, Trump’s return creates a narrow window for engagement that could either open diplomatic channels or worsen relations further.

With the U.S. sanctions still biting, Iranians hope for relief, though many feel wary of the risks involved. The current economic strain may push leaders to explore new strategies, but the path forward is fraught with obstacles on both sides.

As Iran continues to grapple with domestic unrest and economic hardship, the outcome of these dynamics remains unpredictable.

This article includes reporting from The Associated Press